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Texas and Notre Dame talking...

ACC is a step fown because the bottom 40% of that league is full of deadweight.
The top half of the ACC can be very profitable under the right circumstances.

Big 12 doesn't have as strong a top half (from a TV sets and potential, but the Big 12 has 2 behemoths and not as many deadweight teams.

Combine the top 4 to 6 teams in the Big 12 with the top half of the ACC and you get a very nice balance.
Every single conference has dead wt. hopefully no more than 33%. Also, if ur dead wt can make a bowl game twice a decade that would be good. All conferences need some dead wt but the type that can once a decade win 8 games makes it good.

 
Since when did Notre Dam join the ACC in football. Last I counted they were still independent and will always be.Also, who is the ACC school in NJ? Last I heard Rutgers was going to the BIG. The ACC footprint is a bit of a stretch. Lets look at the states.

FL, GA, NC, SC, VA, KY, MA, NY, PA.

In these states, FSU is 2nd to FL in fan passion but that is pretty close, so Florida is an ACC state.

GA is an SEC state with a few GA Tech fans in Atlanta. There are more Auburn fans in GA than GA Tech Fans. Tech is the 3rd school in the state. I would not give the ACC a strong presence here.

NC - ACC dominates the state. 4 schools, no competition.

VA - ACC controls the state.

KY - SEC State, Louisville has such a tiny market share in the state, it would be unfair to call KY an ACC state. Most cable operators would see that as the case too.

MA - Boston is a Pro Sports town. But BC is a nice addition otherwise.

PA - Penn is a Big 10 state. Penn State controls the state. Pitt has a small niche following in Pittsburgh and Western PA. However 90% of the fans follow Penn State. I don't thing fans would clamor to see ACC football because of Pitt.

NY - Syracuse is nice, but they are not NYC. Western NY is a different animal and not the New York Market.

You see, In reality you do not get the fan base in the new ACC that they are trying to sell. The schools are all #2-3 in their state and do not control the market. That is why the upside is not there and it is illusory

Besides NC and MA. The ACC will not be the dominate conference in the market vying for attention. It will always be the little brother to the SEC. Unless North Carolina becomes the next Florida, this will not change.
U make some good point but by ur calculations, Texas is not a Sec state.

As long as you can compete with the top dog and have potential you have the state. I agree Syracuse is a stretch but that is the state on NY bc no one else is there. So I would say Louisville has Ky and GT has GA. Same way Iowa St has Iowa.

As long as other schools can go in and recruit the state by playing in that state, that's all that matters.

 
Notre Dame is a partial member of the ACC. That means Notre Dame competes within the ACC for ALL Olympic sports and plays five ACC teams every year in football, along with Navy, USC, Stanford, and soon, Texas.

Hopefully when it's more evident the Big 12 untenable, I think Patterson will look to emulate the Notre Dame model here at Texas. Compete in all Olympic sports with the ACC (We are going to add lacrosse and men's soccer) and play five ACC teams each year in football. This will allow us to fill out a national schedule that we have a lot more control over.

A sample schedule could look like this:

Notre Dame

Florida State ( or Clemson)

Georgia Tech (Miami)

Louisville (Virginia Tech)

North Carolina (NC State)

OU

Texas Tech

Baylor

USC

Aggy

UTSA

Rice

This will allow us to still play a Texas centric schedule while competing in high value TV markets and growing recruiting grounds.

The LHN will be in beast mode by then.

Patterson will focus on hoops and everyone knows the best basketball is played in the ACC.

Texas becoming independent will be just as big as aggy in the SEC. We can brand OURSELVES more effectively.

Not to mention the TV will be a LOT more lucrative to Texas. Early numbers in this scenario were about $50mil back in 2010. 12 games, all on ESPN stations (ESPN, ESPN 2, ABC, LHN).

 
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ACC is a step fown because the bottom 40% of that league is full of deadweight.
The top half of the ACC can be very profitable under the right circumstances.

Big 12 doesn't have as strong a top half (from a TV sets and potential, but the Big 12 has 2 behemoths and not as many deadweight teams.

Combine the top 4 to 6 teams in the Big 12 with the top half of the ACC and you get a very nice balance.
Yes, such a league would be a monster. But would ND want it? Not as much as it plans to make hay in the ACC. Of the Big 12, ND wants to have a close relationship with Texas, would be fine with playing Baylor and OU fairly often, and might care to play TCU in the Jerry Dome once per decade. But the rest - no interest.

Of the ACC, the only school that ND has no interest in playing is NC State, and that is because there are three other NC schools in the conference. For reasons of recruiting or ND fans living nearby or football history or institutional ties, ND is happy to play the other 13.

And that doesn't speak to what ND wants for the rest of its sports.

 
Yes, such a league would be a monster. But would ND want it? Not as much as it plans to make hay in the ACC. Of the Big 12, ND wants to have a close relationship with Texas, would be fine with playing Baylor and OU fairly often, and might care to play TCU in the Jerry Dome once per decade. But the rest - no interest.
Of the ACC, the only school that ND has no interest in playing is NC State, and that is because there are three other NC schools in the conference. For reasons of recruiting or ND fans living nearby or football history or institutional ties, ND is happy to play the other 13.

And that doesn't speak to what ND wants for the rest of its sports.
Im pretty sure ND doesnt care to play Wake Forrest or Duke also.

 
Every single conference has dead wt. hopefully no more than 33%. Also, if ur dead wt can make a bowl game twice a decade that would be good. All conferences need some dead wt but the type that can once a decade win 8 games makes it good.
Here is an ESPN article on ACC football as bowls approach.

Opening quote: "Here’s the good news: The ACC currently has eight bowl-eligible teams and four more with a chance to reach the six-win mark. The SEC is the only other major conference with the potential to have 12 bowl-eligible teams, which would set an ACC record."

A whole lot of ND fans this year have begun to look closely at ACC football, and what we see is a conference that is much tougher than the average Big Ten fan can ever allow himself to admit. Because ACC football is better than Big Ten football. And that's with a very young conference. And it is before the Irish factor kicks in, which will help everybody in the ACC recruit better.

 
Hey I like the Acc and would not be opposed of Texas joining it. For me, its btw Acc and Pac.

Also, you make some nice Acc points but if ND really loved Acc they would join it, not be there bc they have to join a conf and rather have Acc >Big12/Big10.

 
Im pretty sure ND doesnt care to play Wake Forrest or Duke also.
In very recent years, ND has played Home-Away series with both Wake Forest and Duke. The same ND that refused, for example, to play Rutgers unless it agreed to play its Home games vs. ND at Giants stadium played in the home stadiums of both Duke and Wake Forest. Neither stadium seats more than 35,000.

ND as an institution has a deep respect for the ACC schools with the smallest football stadiums and fan bases. So much so that we played them as home-away equals before joining the ACC.

If you look at what ND has done for its future through the eyes of a typical Big Ten or SEC or OU football fan, you won't understand why it is what ND wants and why it will benefit ND a great deal. In football as well as the rest.

And if you can't grasp why ND wants it this way, you won't understand why there are many people with major power in UT circles who would favor a move to the ACC if all the thorny issues could be worked out.

 
Hey I like the Acc and would not be opposed of Texas joining it. For me, its btw Acc and Pac. Also, you make some nice Acc points but if ND really loved Acc they would join it, not be there bc they have to join a conf and rather have Acc >Big12/Big10.
None of the major Irish football boosters is ready to play an 8 game conference schedule every year. But when they are, they will be where they want to be, which is where Father Jenkins and the rest of administration want them to be.

The issue regarding Texas is that Jack Swarbrick and most powerful football boosters really want Texas to become linked with ND, which means in the ACC. Whether that is Texas joining as a half member or a full member in football is probably no big deal as far as ND is concerned.

 
It's a shame that Texas was so myopic before the last conference shakeup occurred - they could have made the jump to being an independent before effectively forcing A&M to take their ball and leave the playground. Had that occurred, the landscape today could have turned out much different - and better - for UT.

As I have said before - the only team that does not care any less about the LHN is Notre Dame. That was obvious during the last conference shakeups - and why Jack was down in Austin talking about a possible ally in the independent world. Too bad it did not become a reality - those coveted conference championships were too much to drop and leave behind. So was the A&M rivalry...

Just get a 10 year series with Notre Dame and feel how big college football can be in Austin, Texas. It will not affect your "conference play" at all - but it will be the biggest game of the year in Austin and South Bend. It will be televised from coast to coast. It's the perfect rebound from the aggie breakup - and it would be great for all parties involved. Go Irish!

 
None of the major Irish football boosters is ready to play an 8 game conference schedule every year. But when they are, they will be where they want to be, which is where Father Jenkins and the rest of administration want them to be.
The issue regarding Texas is that Jack Swarbrick and most powerful football boosters really want Texas to become linked with ND, which means in the ACC. Whether that is Texas joining as a half member or a full member in football is probably no big deal as far as ND is concerned.
kinda like irishfred said, to become allied with ND, Texas doesnt need to join Acc, just schedule an ongoing home and away with ND. I would be one of the best and most watched game of the year.

 
Look at the Flagship Schools in each conference (not the best football schools)

SEC

Miss - Ole Miss

FL - FL

AR - AR

TN - TN

GA - UGA

SC - SC

MO - Mizzou

AL - Bama

KY - Kentucky - If you have not been to Kentucky, they bleed blue and no one cares about Louisville, even in football.

LA - LSU

TX - They do not have the flagship School, which is why they would take Texas in a second (but T&AM is the next closest thing to Texas, it is not like they took Tech or Baylor)

BIG

OH- Ohio State

MI - Michigan

MN - Minnesota

NE - Nebraska

IN - Indiana

NJ - Rutgers

MD - Maryland

IL - Illinois

IA - Iowa

PA - Penn State

WI - Wisconsin (They have the flagship in every state where the BIG Competes

PAC

AZ - Arizona

UT - Utah

CO - Colorado

CA - UCLA/CAL

OR - OR

WA - WA (again every state they operate, the flagship school is in the conference)

BIG XII

TX - Tex

WV - West Virginia

OK - Oklahoma

KS - Kansas

IA - (They do not have the flagship school)

ACC

NC - UNC

VA - UVA

GA - Does not have Flagship school in conf

FL - DOes not have flagship school in conf

KY - Does not have flagship school in conf

SC - Does not have flagship school in conf

MA - does not have the flagship school in conf

NY - Does not have flagship school in conf

PA - Does not have flagship school in conf

If you see a theme here, it is that the ACC is the worst fit for Texas culturally. Texas is a flagship, it will go with other flagship universities. The ACC is filled with a lot of #2&3 schools in the state. Nice schools but not the chief defining school in the area (It is no wonder why UNC controls the ACC, they are one of the few flagship schools). Flagship schools are large research institutions, and pretty much are almost always public. They have the biggest sway in their respective statehouses when it comes to education. THis is what Texas is. This is not what ACC schools are. Culturally, the ACC would be the worst fit for Texas and the administration. This is why they talk the BIG or PAC. Remember, geography is not of much concern to administrators because they are not from Texas anymore, they come from all over.

As much as I would have rather seen ND in the BIG, they are a good fit for the ACC. ND is not a large research university, they are liberal arts focused, they are a private school, and are a smaller school. This fits the profile of ACC schools much better than BIG schools. Texas on the other hand is a massive state school and one of the premier research schools in the country. Don't you think they would want to be with other like minded schools. That is why the ACC will not work culturally.

 
joebobb, very nice post. You do make a pretty valid post.

The best football/sports states and recruiting states are in the Sec. Also the states with the largest population are the states in the southeast.

 
The SEC is a better fit culturally for Texas than the ACC. I would say fit wise, 1) SEC 2) BIG/PAC 4) ACC

 
It's a shame that Texas was so myopic before the last conference shakeup occurred - they could have made the jump to being an independent before effectively forcing A&M to take their ball and leave the playground. Had that occurred, the landscape today could have turned out much different - and better - for UT.
As I have said before - the only team that does not care any less about the LHN is Notre Dame. That was obvious during the last conference shakeups - and why Jack was down in Austin talking about a possible ally in the independent world. Too bad it did not become a reality - those coveted conference championships were too much to drop and leave behind. So was the A&M rivalry...

Just get a 10 year series with Notre Dame and feel how big college football can be in Austin, Texas. It will not affect your "conference play" at all - but it will be the biggest game of the year in Austin and South Bend. It will be televised from coast to coast. It's the perfect rebound from the aggie breakup - and it would be great for all parties involved. Go Irish!

Texas can't be independent any more than we can. Texas can be like us - part member in football - or else be a full member of a conference for all sports.

 
Look at the Flagship Schools in each conference (not the best football schools)
SEC

Miss - Ole Miss

FL - FL

AR - AR

TN - TN

GA - UGA

SC - SC

MO - Mizzou

AL - Bama

KY - Kentucky - If you have not been to Kentucky, they bleed blue and no one cares about Louisville, even in football.

LA - LSU

TX - They do not have the flagship School, which is why they would take Texas in a second (but T&AM is the next closest thing to Texas, it is not like they took Tech or Baylor)

BIG

OH- Ohio State

MI - Michigan

MN - Minnesota

NE - Nebraska

IN - Indiana

NJ - Rutgers

MD - Maryland

IL - Illinois

IA - Iowa

PA - Penn State

WI - Wisconsin (They have the flagship in every state where the BIG Competes

PAC

AZ - Arizona

UT - Utah

CO - Colorado

CA - UCLA/CAL

OR - OR

WA - WA (again every state they operate, the flagship school is in the conference)

BIG XII

TX - Tex

WV - West Virginia

OK - Oklahoma

KS - Kansas

IA - (They do not have the flagship school)

ACC

NC - UNC

VA - UVA

GA - Does not have Flagship school in conf

FL - DOes not have flagship school in conf

KY - Does not have flagship school in conf

SC - Does not have flagship school in conf

MA - does not have the flagship school in conf

NY - Does not have flagship school in conf

PA - Does not have flagship school in conf

If you see a theme here, it is that the ACC is the worst fit for Texas culturally. Texas is a flagship, it will go with other flagship universities. The ACC is filled with a lot of #2&3 schools in the state. Nice schools but not the chief defining school in the area (It is no wonder why UNC controls the ACC, they are one of the few flagship schools). Flagship schools are large research institutions, and pretty much are almost always public. They have the biggest sway in their respective statehouses when it comes to education. THis is what Texas is. This is not what ACC schools are. Culturally, the ACC would be the worst fit for Texas and the administration. This is why they talk the BIG or PAC. Remember, geography is not of much concern to administrators because they are not from Texas anymore, they come from all over.

As much as I would have rather seen ND in the BIG, they are a good fit for the ACC. ND is not a large research university, they are liberal arts focused, they are a private school, and are a smaller school. This fits the profile of ACC schools much better than BIG schools. Texas on the other hand is a massive state school and one of the premier research schools in the country. Don't you think they would want to be with other like minded schools. That is why the ACC will not work culturally.
yep, you sound exactly like a Big Tenner. All you needed to do was preach the land grant schools as be all and end all, and then you would have hit every point.

Here is what is amazing, per your analysis - the ACC with barely any flagship schools, with a bunch of smaller schools, somehow manages to have better football than the Big Ten. And that is one the heels of a decade of Miami and Florida State both being mediocre.

If both Blowhio State and Meatchicken were to be mediocre for a decade, Big Ten football would be another MAC, and the large flagship schools would not alter the fact.

So what will ACC football be once they all are playing ND regularly? They all will see at least some improved recruiting. The league will see its national TV numbers grow, and they already are 3rd, ahead of the Big 12, far ahead of the Pac.

The ND factor is a game changer, and as the ACC will start already better than the Big Ten, a decade with ND as a half member may elevate ACC football to equality with the SEC.

Would the other sports at Texas, from basketball and baseball to the hoped for lacrosse and men's soccer, prefer to play with and against Big Ten schools than the ACC schools? Nope.

Would Texas administrators prefer to be part of the Big Ten flagship club of homogeneity or the ACC club of mixed types and sizes of schools? The ACC is like the SWC in that regard.

Where would the University of Texas wield the most weight, in a conference where all the schools but 1 have at least 40,000 students, or in a conference where Texas is easily the largest school and most of them have fewer than 25,000 students?

 
kinda like irishfred said, to become allied with ND, Texas doesnt need to join Acc, just schedule an ongoing home and away with ND. I would be one of the best and most watched game of the year.
If all you think and care about is football, that is true, assuming it could last. if you care about and want the rest, then matters are much more difficult.

If Texas is staying in the Big 12, it needs to play ND in football OOC as often as possible. That will put Aggie in his place.

 
Irish - Check your facts, where does the ACC have better football than the BIG. They don't. ESPN and every rating agency rates BIG as #4 and ACC as #5. check your facts. There is even some discussion that winning out OSU could jump FSU in the BCS (It wont happen) because of the weak SOS for FSU (they have only beaten one ranked team).

I just present this as facts, also if you read my posts, I think Texas should go to the SEC first and then the BIG or PAC (although I am more partial to the BIG).

You keep talking about ND as a full member of the ACC, but they are not, they are independent in football and will always be. If they decide to join in football, they will not automatically go to the ACC, they will flirt with any member and pick the best option. That being said, ND fits better culturally in the ACC than Texas ever would. They are very different universities. Texas being a R1 research School and ND not being a huge research school. ND fits better with the likes of Wake and Duke and Boston College than Texas would.

Objectively speaking, Texas has much more in common with the Ohio States, Michigan, UCLA's, Florida's, LSU's, Missouri's of the world than they have with most of the ACC schools.

I know you love the Irish and want Texas to join the ACC so it makes ND's weak ACC schedule look much stronger, and deep down you may have buyers remorse for that ACC deal ND has but objectively looking at facts and numbers as an admin would, you can see why the ACC would be a poor cultural fit.

 
joebobb,

you make some decent points about Texas having more in common with B1G and SEC schools. However, the B1G just has too many hurdles to be a realistic landing spot for Texas.

First of all, unless there is a monumental paradigm shift from Delaney and the Big 10, Texas would have to essentially give up the LHN. The BTN is all for one and one for all when it comes to third tier rights. Secondly, Texas would be a geographical outlier like WVU is. I don't see the powers that be signing off on that. Third, baseball is a big deal at Texas and we would pretty much have to sacrifice baseball. I don't see that happening. Big 10 baseball very poor and I don't see that trend changing. The B1G footprint outside of Rutgers and Maryland is pretty stagnant. In five years, I think they will see a big decline in population and the ability to produce great athletes. The most compelling benefit of the B1G is the academic side. Large research dollars and the CIC make a move there desirable but not at the expense of losing LHN, being a geographical outlier, terrible baseball, etc.

Again, you keep viewing the ACC through TODAY and YESTERDAY. You are failing to view the ACC having more potential and a higher ceiling given the ND and LVille additions as well as favorable future demographic trends.

But I do agree with you regarding the SEC. That would be my first choice. I would be happy with a move to the PAC or a ACC and independent in football (Just like ND's model).

Big 10 is distant third.

 
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Nakona, I do respect your opinion, and agree that the BIG has its shortcomings and unless Oklahoma would move too, it may not be the best fit.

The only thing about viewing the ACC on potential is that it has a history of coming no where near that potential. This is why we need to view it through the lens of today and yesterday.

Remember in 2003 when Miami and VA tech joined the ACC? It was going ot be the most dominant conference yet. No one would come close to a conference with Miami, Va Tech, FSU and Clemson. At that time Maryland was coming off a 10 win season and was a team on the verge. We are still waiting for this potential to be proven true. Will it happen? - I cant answer that question and neither can you. You can point to demographics and recruiting territories and such, but there are a lot of inherent ACC issues that would prevent them from overcoming these hurdles even if everything falls right.

The big thing I see that will prevent the ACC from ever really becoming better than a #4 or #5 conference is the makeup. Go back to my flagship post. Those schools all bring the size and clout and infrastructure that is not available to schools in the ACC. Pitt does not get the money Penn State does, FSU is not treated equally to Florida. Only a couple of schools in the ACC have the ability to compete budget wise with the SEC and BIG. With the overlap in the SEC and even the BIG chasing many of the same recruits, the flashier, big money schools will win out more than not. This is an achillies heel to the ACC superiority talk (IMO) which I do not feel anyone really addresses.

 
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