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New Face, New Era: Tom Herman To Texas (By: Daniel Seahorn)

Daniel Seahorn

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The end of an era, and the birth of a new one. The writing has been on the wall for some time now and today it was finally made official by university officials. The Charlie Strong Texas Football era is over and it looks like his successor has all but officially been decided. Tom Herman you now have the floor in Austin.

I last wrote about shoveling the dirt on Strong’s tenure as the head coach at Texas, so I won’t be spending time on the past. It is time to focus on the present and the future and with Strong being out of a job that means all eyes are now squarely on Herman. By this time most are probably pretty familiar with Herman’s resume. National championship as the offensive at coordinator and won it with his third string quarterback, instant success at Houston in 2015 with a 13-1 record that included a Peach Bowl win over Florida State, and followed that up with a 9-3 season that included wins over Oklahoma in the opener then a beat down of Lamar Jackson and Louisville last week.

This is where everyone screams and hollers about Houston losing to Navy, SMU, and Memphis this year. This is where I say Navy may very well win the conference this year and win 10 games, Memphis was a ranked team just last year and won 8 games, and the SMU game… well yeah that was a bit of a WTF moment, but Houston was really banged up in the middle of the year. Even if that is your sticking point, the man just went 22-4 in two seasons in a place that isn’t used to winning as much as they were. They surely aren’t used to boat racing the likes of Oklahoma, Florida State, and Louisville in a two year span. They surely are not used to landing five star studs like Ed Oliver, and they are not used to almost stringing together consecutive 10 win seasons (never has happened in their history). Here’s another question for those that are in doubt, who would you hire given the state of the market right now? Chris Petersen was and is probably never is leaving the Pacific Northwest, Les Miles was a non-starter, and the Sabans, Meyers, and Dabos of the world are not leaving their current gigs. Any and all realistic options for the position came with flaws. Texas was going to have to gamble a bit, but they are gambling on the most attractive and most sought after name on the coaching carousel. Go up the road and ask the folks at LSU if they would take Tom Herman as their head coach right now. Anyone in that building who says Ed Orgeron was their guy from the start is flat out lying, and I love Coach O a ton. The LSU brass wanted Tom Herman and now they are having the roll the dice a bit themselves on a guy who had a less than stellar first stint as a head coach at Ole Miss. So I ask you, would you trade places with LSU right now and be comfortable making a similar hire?

With Tom Herman you get a coach and staff with established Texas roots who could potentially rescue you from the recruiting purgatory you are currently stuck in due to the fact that the previous coach couldn’t show progress on the field this year. I’m not saying Texas is going to get ERRYBODY with the pending hire of Herman, but he no doubt gives you a shot in the arm down the home stretch and he is a very good recruiter who will now have the Texas brand behind him. I am particularly intrigued by the kind of staff Herman will put around himself with that increase in budget and resources, as he was already doing an outstanding job down in 3rd Ward with a much tighter budget. It’s been common knowledge for some time that Texas was his dream job, so I can’t imagine him being unprepared for making this leap to the big show after putting himself in the best position possible to reap the rewards if the job came open eventually.

In this business you are not always going to be able to find the perfect candidate for the job. There is going to be some risk involved on the behalf of the university no doubt about, but what is a sure fire alternative at this point? One thing I can say for sure is that Herman will be inheriting a better situation than his predecessor a few years ago and there will be much higher expectations to win quicker due to the fact that the roster has much more talent on it and an established starter at quarterback. If Texas wins 10 games in the 2017, the new coaching staff better make sure they send some thank you cards to Charlie Strong, because he was able to put more talent on the depth chart during his stint in Austin.

I know there many out there who have their doubts and I know there are plenty of people who still wanted Strong to stay all things considered, but Texas is where they are for reason. With a changing of the guard now isn’t the time to divide. Now more than ever everyone needs to come together and support the new coach, his staff, and the players. I know that will fall on deaf ears for some, but at this point the only direction to go is forward, and I think Texas fans in time will get excited to the brand of football coming to Austin.

 
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One thing I can say for sure is that Herman will be inheriting a better situation than his predecessor a few years ago...
That narrative is tired and inaccurate, IMO. On what metrics are you basing that assertion, Daniel?

 
That narrative is tired and inaccurate, IMO. On what metrics are you basing that assertion, Daniel?
More talent on the roster, bonafide starter at QB (with Ehlinger on the way), a depth chart that will be very experienced at the top.

Not necessarily using metrics. Just trusting what my eyes see from then to now.

 
More talent on the roster, bonafide starter at QB (with Ehlinger on the way), a depth chart that will be very experienced at the top.

Not necessarily using metrics. Just trusting what my eyes see from then to now.
I would agree that there is more talent overall now than 3 years ago. That made it all the more frustrating to watch poor schemes, technique, and execution. I fully anticipate a better product next season.
 
That narrative is tired and inaccurate, IMO. On what metrics are you basing that assertion, Daniel?

I don't think so. We have both quality and quantity on the roster now. Our OL is stacked, the secondary is stacked, LB corps is best its been in years, WRs galore and talented. We're in very good shape, personnel wise.

Warren and Johnson were both injured this year. They're back and hopefully healthy. Those two are big time.

Add another QB to the depth chart, this time it's someone who could take Buechele's job. Depth at QB. Imagine that.

Meanwhile, we had nothing on the OL when Mack left. It was embarrassing.

We had a QB who was fragile and was knocked out of football early in the first season.

I love ya JB but Daniel's right, this one can be measured with the eyes alone.

 
Good synopsis Daniel. It's time to look forward now, not in the rear view mirror.

 
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Maybe, but the "UT cupboard was bare" statement is BS. If that's true, why was Strong's 1st defense his best?

Why would you judge the entire talent volume based on the performance of 1/3 of the team? Let's start with that so we can understand your current conclusion.

But just off the top of my head here, Mack recruited a TE who never was to play QB at Texas. He recruited another who now plays WR. Without at least adequate QB play in the Big 12, you're doomed.

 
Why would you judge the entire talent volume based on the performance of 1/3 of the team? Let's start with that so we can understand your current conclusion.

But just off the top of my head here, Mack recruited a TE who never was to play QB at Texas. He recruited another who now plays WR. Without at least adequate QB play in the Big 12, you're doomed.
I'm not gonna belabor this point with you or anyone else.

Go back and look at Mack's recruiting class rankings his last three years. What's the narrative? The recruits didn't live up to their star-ratings? Or Mack failed to develop their talents?

Oh, and defense is the best place to judge Strong's performance because that's supposed to be his specialty.

 
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Daniel, just want to say this is an outstanding article you wrote and just how much I enjoy your input and views on this forum. 

 
This is a much better situation then what Strong was faced with. Macks staff was told they would be out and didn't even recruit the final year. That was told to me by someone on that staff. Everything is in place for a 10 win season next year. 

 
More talent on the roster, bonafide starter at QB (with Ehlinger on the way), a depth chart that will be very experienced at the top.

Not necessarily using metrics. Just trusting what my eyes see from then to now.
I guess I agree with this but I also understand the objection. 

Strong inherited an 8 win team (the prior season); Herman is inheriting a 5 win team. 

How do we know they are so talented; high school recruiting rankings?  They can't tackle or pass block - does that suggest something to the level of talent?  Furthermore, Mack Brown was the king of the recruiting rankings.... even in many of his down years, they were still "highly ranked." 

At the end of the day, Daniel is correct based on his assessment of the QB position.  That is largely what got Mack Brown fired (he said so on an ESPN telecast) and it made winning improbable for Strong most of his time here.  This by itself gives Herman an easier road than Strong had.   

 
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