I actually agree with much of what you say.
Texas fans are historically quick to turn on a coach. It can become so overwhelming that it kills a coaches ability to recruit talent. I remember walking to a Texas game toward the end of the great Fred Akers era and seeing a sheet hanging out the window of a dorm room with “Fire Fred” painted on it. I also agree with you it is premature to fire Herman after year 3.
But not parting with Herman after this year is based entirely on the belief that firing after only 3 years looks bad. If he comes back, UT should apologize to Charlie Strong for a premature firing. “we aren’t there with Herman yet” (as opposed to Mackovic and McWilliams) I disagree. I would suggest we are witnessing ineptitude on the field about as bad as any I have seen since the late 70s and that is saying a lot. This ineptitude is in areas that I believe point directly at coaching. For example:
[SIZE=14.666666984558105px]> [/SIZE][SIZE=7pt] [/SIZE][SIZE=11pt]Texas leads the Big 12 in missed tackles[/SIZE]
[SIZE=14.666666984558105px]> [/SIZE][SIZE=7pt] [/SIZE][SIZE=11pt]Texas leads the Big 12 in sacks allowed [/SIZE]
> Texas leads the Big 12 in penalties
This ^^^^ in year 3 of CTH!
Here are some further observations that I also believe point directly back to coaching and preparation:
[SIZE=14.666666984558105px]>[/SIZE][SIZE=7pt] [/SIZE][SIZE=11pt]I haven’t researched percentages but it seems our opponent scores a TD on their first possession just about every game! If this isn’t preparation, I’m not sure what is?[/SIZE]
[SIZE=14.666666984558105px]> [/SIZE][SIZE=7pt] [/SIZE][SIZE=11pt]We are on year 3 of the worst special teams I have ever seen! Specifically punt and Kickoff return. How many years does it take to teach returners when to / and when to not field a punt? [/SIZE]
So, I get what you’re saying…. Crying in public doesn’t help matters. But bringing Herman back - new coordinators or not is likely just delaying the inevitable.
Yes, what you say is true. My defense is as much of the university as it is Herman... about the process and prospects for future coaches, etc.
However I disagree on Herman's ability to turn it around, but only by a matter of degrees. This is where stats really aren't much help, just an observational thing.
If he is able to turn it around, it's impossible by changing both coordinators at the same time. I never recall a situation where that happened when a coach wasn't just buying time. And if we are going to change just one coordinator, that should be Beck.
I believe Herman's biggest mistake upon accepting the job was salvaging Beck from osu. A year later Herman is having to take over play calling duties, or this play calling by committee - whatever the heck is going on. There just aren't many situations where a HC has successfully called plays for very long, which takes his focus away from everything else.
Either way he was stuck with Beck to try and make it work. Which it did - but only in ideal conditions. Once the wheels got wobbly and injuries piled up, Herman got underwater quickly. Without a better offensive staff to get backups ready things absolutely fell apart.
Also (which is more observational) I give Orlando more credit than the stats will show. I think it's more difficult to replace the entire secondary than swapping out WRs. Without BJ, Sterns, Green, etc, the defense just didn't work. And since we play man most of the time, that's a lot more about instinct than just reps and really difficult to replace.
However with all of those guys back, the defense has held the last 3 opponents to around 25 points... under their season averages. In the B12 that'll play. But only scoring around 20 on offense will not work.
Overall it's hard to ignore the progress made the last 2 season. Herman was doing something right (since he sure didn't inherit institutional excellence from Strong). So I honestly think he can turn it around if he gets the right OC to help fix things.