Chances Texas makes the tournament

[Mitch Lovell]

I feel like they will make it but wouldn't surprise me at all if they miss it luckily for them they have good teams left to play because the big 12 is ridiculously good

 

[joeywa]

Slim to none, and Slim's on the last horse out of town. 

 

[utisdabomb12]

If Texas beats Baylor and Kansas State at home and wins the first Big 12 tournament game against Tech/TCU, I absolutely think they make the tournament. 

Let's look at Oklahoma State from last year, who made the tournament. They finished the year 21-12, 8-10 in conference. They had 3 RPI top 50 wins last year, all at home (Colorado, Texas, Kansas). Oklahoma State had a KenPom rating of around 23-25. They had an ESPN RPI of 45 going into the tournament. That Oklahoma State team finished as a #9 seed. 

Let's look at Texas' resume. We are currently 17-12. 3 more wins and a loss would make us 20-13. That would also put us as at 8-10 in conference. If Texas beats Baylor they will also have 3 top 50 RPI wins (Baylor, WV and Iowa). Texas current KenPom rating is 21. Texas current ESPN RPI is 47. 

If Texas beats Baylor, K-State and Tech/TCU they will have an identical conference record with Oklahoma State from last year. Oklahoma State's overall record will be one game better. Texas will have the same amount of RPI top 50 wins (Texas won one on a neutral court, OK.State won all of theirs at home so advantage Texas). Texas will have around the same KenPom and ESPN RPI rankings if they win these 3 games in a row. If Texas wins the next 3 they will likely have a higher KenPom and ESPN RPI in comparison with Ok. State from last year.  

The bubble is also weaker this year and the Big 12 is stronger (helping the RPI). So like I said, win these next 3 games and I think we make the tournament. 

 

[dillohorn]

Please just let it end. What a disappointment of a season.

 

[castlebravo1]

So the more interesting question is:  If we DO make the tournament, what are the odds that Barnes is fired?  I figure if we don't make the tournament, he is 100% gone.

 

[More Cowbell]

I don't see us making it, not that we can't. I just don't see this team winning the next 3. If we lose tonight the new storyline will be how we have to beat K State and win at least two in the conference tourney. Then if we lose to K State it will be how we have to win the conference tourney. Then it will be how we need to win the NIT and save the season. The bar will continue to be lowered until the season mercifully ends. I have had season tickets for 27 years and this is my most frustrating season in that time. Like dillohorn, I'm ready for it to just be over.

 

[J.B. TexasEx]

The NIT used to be a semi-prestigious tournament.

 

[streettopeschel]

The NIT used to be a semi-prestigious tournament.

yep. And Texas used to be part of Mexico.

 

[Aaron Carrara]

Remaining regular season games:

March 2 vs. Baylor 

March 7 vs. Baylor 

March 11 - First Round, Big 12 Tournament Begins

 

[Mitch Lovell]

Barnes is like Mack at the end but one big difference to me is Barnes has never won a title like Mack and this team has top 10 kinda talent