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Should the Texas Longhorns Leave the Big XII?

primal defense

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Should the Texas Longhorns Leave the Big XII?

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“Four hours of cocktailing I never got a chance to crack one binder,†TCU Athletic Director Chris Del Conte said to the crowded room of Big XII bluebloods. The dinner, in 2014, was held to honor outgoing University of Texas Athletic Director DeLoss Dodds, and the highly regarded AD yielded the floor to Del Conte upon his arrival. “All right Del,†Dodds said. “Let them have the story, my man.â€

Del Conte continued, as reported by CBS Sports’ Dennis Dodd:

Del Conte admitted, “the pressure of the entire institution was on my shoulders†to join the Big 12. He worked the phones, calling every Big 12 contact he knew. Support within the Big 12 was growing, including at Oklahoma where good friend Joe Castiglione had been encouraging. But Del Conte knew if he didn’t have Texas, he didn’t have a chance.

“I’ve got one shot,†he recounted, “to go see DeLoss.â€

It was a quite a visit. Del Conte grabbed a car, a driver and a bunch of reference material, binders, extolling the advantages of TCU and Fort Worth.

“I get up at 8 o’clock in the morning and drive to Darrell K. Royal Stadium. I get to [Dodds’] office. Nine comes around, 10 comes around. I’ve got a GA [graduate assistant] outside waiting for me, by the way. I tell him, ‘Just wait 10 minutes I’ll be back.’ Pretty soon it’s 3:30.

“[DeLoss] comes out and says, ‘Who are you?’ Chris Del Conte, Texas Christian U. He doesn’t hear ‘Chris.’ he hears ‘Del’. ‘Del, let’s go get ourselves a drink and discuss it.’

“We went to a restaurant and had a little libation at 3:30. By the time 8:30 rolls around, we were [into it] pretty good but we got ourselves in a situation. I kept trying to give him my [binders]. He said, ‘I’ve heard enough, Del’ and just walked away.â€

The next morning, Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione shared the good news with Del Conte: The Frogs were in.

——

It is a quintessentially Texas story, covering both the hubris of the university and the romanticized swagger of the state. And it is also proof of a mindset, an imbued vanity that makes UT one of few, if not the only, program that can successfully leave the comfort and self contained structure of a conference and succeed as an independent in football.

At first blush the idea of such a departure seems ludicrous, particularly considering the recent ripples in some coaching circles about the perceived unfair advantage that current independent programs BYU, Army and especially Notre Dame have in navigating their way toward a berth in the College Football Playoff.  Those concerns were addressed last Thursday. “The three independents are perfectly happy being independent,†Bill Hancock, executive director of the CFP said of the Irish, BYU and Army. “They have the ability to craft their schedules to fit their needs,†Hancock told ESPN. If their need and goal is to be in the playoff, then they’re in the same boat as everybody else. You better play a good schedule if you want to be in the playoff.â€

And it’s that ability to craft their on schedules that should intrigue UT and its fan base–and potentially assuage member schools that the Longhorns would leave behind. An independent UT could maintain its annual matchups with Baylor, TCU and Texas Tech. The Red River Rivalry could remain a staple of the Texas State Fair, and perhaps, most importantly, the Thanksgiving game with Texas A&M could–and should–resume. Throw in Arkansas, a service academy or two and an annual trip out west and the Longhorns’ schedule would be worthy of its own ESPN affiliated network.

Said network, of course already exists, and makes the case for UT’s independence stronger still; the case for UT to survive on its own and for the surviving schools of what remains of the Big XII after the program on the 40 acres is gone.

The LHN, or “the elephant in the room,†according to Oklahoma chancellor David Boren, will earn UT $300 million over 20 years from ESPN. $15 million a year into the school’s coffers to air, among other things, fashion shows. From C. Austin Cox at the Best College Sports News Network:

The only ones really doing well at the moment are the Texas Longhorns themselves. UT gets paid approximately $15 million a year from the network that is co-owned by ESPN and by all estimates, Texas’ partner has already lost tens of millions of dollars on the failed network that shows college fashion shows. It doesn’t help that the Big 12 is partnered with FOX while Texas is partnered with ESPN. These kinds of conflicting choices and business decisions led to the demise of a power conference less than two years ago. Will LHN lead to the demise of another.

An independent UT would help to slay Boren’s elephant. Texas could continue to cash ESPN’s checks and the new Big XII could finally launch a network of its own, earning the remaining member schools millions of dollars annually in the process. Sure, the argument could be made that a conference sans Texas would be less appealing. But if given the choice between a conference without Texas and potentially no conference at all, the former appears at least more palatable. And enticing three new universities to join would perhaps prove easier if Boren’s elephant was gone and a new conference network emerged based on the novel premise that all schools would be a party to its success.

I’ll leave the particulars to those smarter than me, but it should be safe to assume that there are more than a handful of universities whose entrance would make the Big XII intriguing, national, and most importantly, viable.

——

Some will argue that the Longhorn football program is currently in no position to make such a bold move, given their on the field performance of late. But programs are cyclical, and while it might be a delicious plate of schadenfreude, or even at times borderline erotic, to watch Texas’ struggles, it would be foolish to assume they will last. No one has more resources, name recognition and most importantly higher expectations from a mammoth fanbase than Texas. The school that was willing to pay Nick Saban $100 million to prowl the sidelines in Austin will stop at nothing to be considered again amongst college football’s elite.

More still will argue that new Texas AD, Steve Patterson, is no DeLoss Dodds, whose boldness allowed for inviting a small school in Fort Worth to join his conference after an impromptu day-drinking session; whose Texas sized ego would’ve been more prone to entertain the dangerous thrill borne from a conference break. In many ways those making that argument are exactly right. While Patterson may be irking some of those inside the program, he will undoubtedly leave Texas in better shape financially than he found it in. Bits of the troubling changes instituted by Patterson were chronicled recently at Burnt Orange Nation by Wescott Eberts:

Many of the complaints center around Patterson’s perceived lack of interpersonal communication skills and penchant for commoditizing the Texas brand through attempts to increase profits and cut costs instead of actually supporting athletics programs.

Notable incidents include the resignation of the women’s tennis coach after Patterson restricted coaches to 30 visits per year to Texas dining halls before incurring a cost of $10 per visit thereafter and the 10,000 Texas fans deciding not to renew their season tickets due to price increases. In fact, an open records request found that almost 60 percent of season-ticket holders experienced a price increase between 25 and 50 percent. All this after years of declining season-ticket sales.

While several of the complaints against Patterson appear to have merit, the mess that he inherited is often overlooked. According to an acquaintance with significant ties to the university and inside knowledge of fundraising activities, the athletic department was run like a rural bank in the Wild West. Donors, whether they be million dollar whales or of the occasional $25 sort, all received the same form letter of thanks. There was no real system to track where the money was coming from and how best to maximize requests for giving. There was a river of money flowing in, so the status quo was accepted. But the changes Patterson is making will make that river much larger, and the current much stronger. Patterson may not survive based on his interpersonal deficiencies, after all he’s no DeLoss Dodds, but Texas will be even richer because of his cleanup efforts; even more viable in their ability to stand alone.

——

In the end it will be up to the powers that be in Austin to decide what to do about the most recent round of conference shuffling. Here’s to hoping the university’s arrogance–in part earned, in part inherited–leads the football program to a path of independence. In so many ways a move that on the surface appears narcissistic could actually benefit all involved. The same school that decided upon the Big XII’s newest member based on the AD’s ability to hold his liquor, the same school that decided to launch the LHN with Matthew McConaughey’s slow burning “ours is the color of sunset and leather,†could in fact do something they are unaccustomed to–help other schools while helping themselves.

http://www.stakingtheplains.com/2015/08/03/texas-longhorns-leave-the-big-12/

 
The only ones really doing well at the moment are the Texas Longhorns themselves. UT gets paid approximately $15 million a year from the network that is co-owned by ESPN and by all estimates, Texas’ partner has already lost tens of millions of dollars on the failed network that shows college fashion shows. It doesn’t help that the Big 12 is partnered with FOX while Texas is partnered with ESPN.
Yet another "journalist" provides no financials or supporting documentation to back up his assertion about what a failure LHN is for ESPN. What a surprise

Oh, "Stalking the Plains" is a sand aggie blog? Never mind

 
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Absolutely silly to think that Texas could pull this off. We have a great brand, but not the national brand of Notre Dame.

Who would we schedule?

We are fine right where we are until the TV contracts start to run out and more realignment discussion starts up.

I think we all know that there is more coming at that point.

We just need to take care of our business until that happens.

 
My opinion has been, no one is leaving the Big12 before the GOR ends so for Texas that gives us plenty of chance to evaluate the CFB landscape until then. Things change rapidly and in the next 10 years I'm sure things will be a lot different than they are right now.

Being an Independent doesn't make any sense anymore and If I were a betting man I would say you will eventually see teams like ND join a conference.

IMO, if all the P5 schools are locked in their conference, we should just add BYU and Cincy and see if over the next 9-10 years they become a national player.

We can reform a Big12 north and still play nine conference games a year if we want. Having a championship game will be a great chance to showcase our best teams and build up the winner's playoff resume.

 
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IMO, the key to expansion is getting someone else to jump ship somewhere else. The pool of schools without conference affiliation isn't so exciting.

I leave BYU alone. No reason to go west when the rest of the conference is not. SO I go east and help West Virginia. I would try like hell to get L'ville to listen to us. We should have never let that one go. Cincy may be another to look at. I might also look at Central Florida and Georgia Tech.

I think you'll see the independents join a conference before you'll see Texas go it alone.

 
Back in the 90s I was really pumped when the SWC blew up and I knew we would be playing teams like Nebraska, Colorado and even Mizzou.  Now that those teams are gone I no longer view the Big 12 as a good thing.  I don't have the answers, but I do not think that going independent is even a temporary solution. 

I wish there was some magic way to realign the schools to come up with a reasonable coalition of teams, but since no person or group has the authority to do that I feel almost certain that we will end up with a hodge-podge of school alignments.  I just hope that when the dust settles we end up in a conference with good venues and teams.

 
There will eventually be a court case, resulting from a GOR spat, that turns everything upside down. Teams will be divided geographically, much like they do in the BB tourney, and off we will go.

Conference Commissioners can be proactive or go kicking and screaming, but it will happen. Book it.

Hook 'em!

 
This would be fine with me. The Pac 12 has been the most entertaining conference for awhile. UT and Oklahoma in the Pac 12 would be a strong and entertaining conference. The two negatives I can think of with us joining the Pac 12 are later games and more Fox Sports.

Conference realignment: It's coming again at some point. The signs are too obvious to ignore. Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott is besties with Texas AD Steve Patterson. Notre Dame has a scheduling agreement with the ACC, if only for better access to the playoff.

The Big 12 is only as viable as Texas and Oklahoma being in it. Scott seemingly hasn't lost his appetite to expand into the Central Time Zone. A lot of those Pac-12 games still end after midnight in the East.

Future of College Football: Changes coming quickly, on and off the field

http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/writer/dennis-dodd/25258309/future-of-college-football-changes-coming-quickly-on-and-off-the-field

 
The PAC is ok, but it doesn't really excite me. They have their fair share of the little sisters of the weak. Give me a slate with regional powers of:

Texas

Oklahoma

LSU

Ole Miss

Mississippi State

Texas Tech

OSU

TCU

Baylor

Aggies (if necessary, yawn)

Arkansas would make sense, but I loathe them

Missouri, possibly

Play 6 in your division and 2 out each year, with 3 Power 5 non conference. Divide into north south or east west, but maintain rivalry games, such as Texas/OU, Bedlam, and others as you see fit.

Makes for a darn good football conference, a good baseball conference, and a pretty good basketball conference. Travel costs would be pretty darn reasonable. Dallas isn't a bad destination, neither is NOLA (close enough to Baton Rouge). Austin is really sweet!

Just fyi.

Hook 'em!

 
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Was this covered anywhere on the board? I've been swamped and just catching recruiting stuff when I can, mostly.

This is off BC, but I found it on ESPN as well.

http://www.barkingcarnival.com/2015/7/14/8960391/espn-and-the-culture-of-cord-cutting

"Dwindling audience.  Skyrocketing Costs.  Loss of revenue.   Uncertain future.

Not exactly the kind of problems that the leaders of the most powerful sports network are used to dealing with. But reality - in the form of financial setbacks - are encroaching on the media mountaintop that ESPN has claimed as its own for almost three decades. "

Staying on the basic cable tier is a priority for the moment for ESPN, but the bigger problem is where those who are cutting the cord are heading.

Entertainment dollars are moving to online services such as Netflix, Hulu and Amazon Prime.  And since most of the dollars moving away from ESPN aren't even aware that the channel exists, there isn't a whole lot they can do about the bleeding.

According to one survey, 28% of all TV viewing is now done through digital streaming.

The survey also showed that 41% of TV viewers supplement their watching with three streaming services. 81.6% of the respondents would prefer to pick their own channels. Millennials, obviously a prime target audience for EPSN, appear to be leading the movement away from cable.

Surveys indicate that the typical pay-tv viewer watches 17 channels. Customizing an a la carte list could get expensive, especially for the sports fan.

According to a recent report in Variety, ESPN ranks 20th among channels viewers would be willing to pay for.
I'm looking at the fact that realignment was based on a CERTAIN future, not an uncertain future, when it comes to tv revenue spread across a conference.

Texas will always have a future because it's reality is based on itself, not on who it's holding hands with.

There will come the day when who you are and being able to stand on your own two feet -- will count just like it always has.

Life has a way of working toward a balancing of the scales regards merit, authenticity and genuineness.

Realignment was a cheap hustle. We'll see how it shakes out.

 
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